Friday, June 24, 2016

Just Keep Swimming: 'Finding Dory' Has a Smashing Weekly Finish


On top of breaking the opening weekend record for an animated feature, Finding Dory also scored a massive weekly gross...

Yesterday, Finding Dory made $213 million domestically. Let's do some compare-and-contrast...

At this very point, Toy Story 3 - Pixar's highest grossing film domestically, $415 million - was at $167 million. Shrek 2 was at $164 million, that ended up with $441 million. It remains the highest grossing animated film domestically. Toy Story 3, despite being a long-awaited threequel, didn't have those kinds of legs to get that high. Shrek 2's second weekend gross was a shocking $72 million, Toy Story 3 slipped to $59 million on its second weekend...

Anyways, it appears that Finding Dory is going to have very strong legs, or fins. Its daily grosses are higher than the ones Toy Story 3 posted in its first week, and Toy Story 3 ended up scoring a 3.7x multiplier. I think with a lot of films, the higher the opening, the lower the multiplier. Finding Dory, should it follow Toy Story 3's trajectory, would finish up with roughly $509 million!!

Can an animated film finally break that? Toy Story 3, Frozen, and Shrek 2 are the only animated features to cross $400 million domestically without the help of any theatrical re-releases. The Lion King got past the big four-oh-oh during its surprisingly big 2011 re-release.


It all depends on how it performs this weekend. If you adjust Finding Nemo's original 2003 domestic take, you get a massive $483 million. Should this sequel stay on par with the original, attendance-wise, it'll still make more than $480 million!!!

Quite the long wait paid off, I think. I can only imagine how a Finding Nemo sequel would've done had it been released 3-4 years after the original. Would it have stayed flat because the first one was so big? Or would it have performed like a titan? Thankfully, audiences feel Finding Dory is a high quality sequel (it really, really is) and that could work in its favor, even in the face of family-friendly competition like The Secret Life of Pets. If audiences love Dory that much, the two movies will co-exist on the chart.

We shall see this weekend. Box Office Mojo predicts that Dory will pocket $81 million this weekend, more than beating Shrek 2's second weekend haul of $72 million, and will have the picture at $294 million. Shrek 2 was at $236 million at the end of its second weekend, not counting the Memorial Day Monday gross. Still, with that counted, the gross was $260 million. The Hollywood Reporter says "$70 million or more", still great!

Also miles ahead of this weekend's nostalgia sequel Independence Day: Resurgence. That's looking to make $50 million, around the same amount the original made on opening weekend... 20 years ago, without 3D, IMAX 3D, and the sky-high ticket prices of today. That's a bit on the disappointing side.

The fish is a juggernaut. I can hear the Disney executives now... Director Andrew Stanton may have said three years ago that there's "polite inquiry" from Disney when it comes to sequels... Polite inquiry alright...

Plus, it's come full circle. Finding Nemo used to be the top grossing animated film domestically, then Shrek 2 took away the crown, now Finding Dory sees to take it away some 12 years later...

In other animation box office news... Zootopia is still chugging, it's now up to $1,012 million worldwide. At this point, some real hype for this one has to kick in, now that it's on home media. (By the by, the Blu-ray release is the best for a Walt Disney Animation Studios film in years.) Nothing else. Kung Fu Panda 3's pretty much done, as the Blu-ray streets on Tuesday. The Angry Birds Movie finally crossed $100 million domestically, and has actually fallen behind The Good Dinosaur's path... But you'll never hear anyone talk about the picture "not appealing" to audiences or it being "not that great". It cost only $73 million to make, so yeah, it's "not worth" talking about. Ya know, the usual bullcrap with the press...

Anyways, we shall see how Dory swims this weekend...

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